Decision Point Fallacy Examples in Media, Real Life, Politics, News & Ads

Decision Point Fallacy

Decision Point Fallacy Definition

The decision point fallacy is a fallacy that revolves around the idea that a specific outcome has to happen because it has happened at some other point in time. It is when you believe each decision made is the only possible correct option to make. The decision point fallacy is a common fallacy that people make when they are tired.

For example, if a person has been in a vehicle accident, they might think that any future driving they do will have the same result. This is known as flipping a coin and thinking its tails, and every time it flips, it will always be tails.

They believe that the decision they have presently made is the only possible decision to make. Decision point fallacy examples can be found in many people’s daily routine- deciding what to eat, what to wear, or what to do with their day.

Decision Point Fallacy Examples

Decision Point example in Philosophy

Examples of C Decision Point Fallacy in Philosophy:

One of the most common and damaging missteps in public policy thinking is the notion that a decision-maker can know all the facts necessary to make an informed decision.

Unfortunately, this is not the case, and in many instances, those making the decision out of lack of awareness will make the wrong decision. This is the decision-point fallacy.

Decision Point Fallacy Real-Life Examples

Decision Point Fallacy in Real Life:

The decision point fallacy is the tendency to think that a choice will have more impact than it actually does. This bias can be seen in many different situations, including when people are choosing which college to attend or what type of car they should buy.

For example, a person might believe that attending a prestigious university will lead to better job opportunities and higher earnings over their lifetime; however, this may not be true for everyone.

Decision Point Fallacy Examples in Media

Examples of Decision Point Fallacy in Media: 

A person who is watching a movie about someone else’s life and thinks they know what the character will do next.

The belief that we can predict future events based on past experiences or knowledge of an individual’s personality.

Thinking that because something has happened in the past, it will happen again in the future

Decision Point Examples in Advertising

Decision Point Fallacy in Advertising: 

Decision point fallacy is a logical error that occurs when we think about the probability of an event happening based on how easy it would be to make that decision.

For example, if you were at a store and wanted to buy some cereal but had two choices: one with 10 types of cereal and one with only five types of cereal, which would you choose?.

You might assume the more options there are for cereals in the store, the higher your chances are of finding what you want because there’s more variety available.

But this isn’t necessarily true- even though it may seem like it’s easier to pick from 10 cereals than 5, your chance of picking something you actually want is still 50% no matter how many options there are

Decision Point Fallacy in Politics

Examples of Decision Point Fallacy in Politics:

The decision point fallacy is when you take a small piece of information and use it to make a broad conclusion about the whole situation.

A good example of the decision point fallacy in politics is when people look at one thing that Trump does, like his tweets, and think that he’s an idiot or crazy person.

Another example would be if someone looked at Hillary Clinton’s emails from her time as Secretary of State and used them to conclude that she was corrupt.

Decision Point Fallacy examples in Movies

Examples of Decision Point Fallacy in Movies:

In movies, the protagonist always makes the right decision. There are no consequences for their decisions.

Characters don’t have to make any sacrifices in order to be happy

Decision Point Fallacy Examples in Literature

Examples of Decision Point Fallacy in Literature:

The protagonist of the novel is faced with a decision to either stay in her hometown or leave for college.

She chooses to go to college but then realizes that she misses home and wants to come back.

Decision Point Fallacy Examples in News

Examples of Decision Point Fallacy in News:

The news article is about a study that found that people who eat more fruits and vegetables have lower heart disease rates.

In the article, the author cites an example where someone might make a decision to eat more fruit-based on this study.

This would be an example of a decision point fallacy because it’s not clear whether eating fruit leads to better health or if healthier people are just more likely to eat fruit.

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